RISK OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE BY BP OIL SPILL


Here’s a thread post from the Project Avalon forum that has some very informative information on the breaking of the Gulf stream loop current, they are already wearing winter clothes in Ireland and some countries in Europe have already gotten snow over a month early. What concerns scientists is that we may be facing another Ice Age since the mid Atlantic conveyor shut down earlier this summer, so far it’s not looking good…

By Gianluigi Zangari

Frascati National Laboratories (LNF)
National Institute of Nuclear Physics (INFN)
Frascati 00044, Via E. Fermi, 40, ITALY

Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research

Abstract: BP Oil Spill may cause an irreparable damage to the Gulf Stream global climate thermoregulation activity.

The Gulf Stream importance in the global climate thermoregulation processes
is well assessed. The latest real time satellite (Jason,
Topex/Poseidon, GeosatFollow-On, ERS-2, Envisat) data maps of May-June
2010 processed by CCAR1,2

(Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research), checked at Frascati

Laboratories by the means of the SHT congruent calculus3 and
compared with past years data, show for the first time a direct evidence
of the rapid breaking of the Loop Current, a warm ocean current,
crucial part of the Gulf Stream.
As displayed both by the sea surface velocity maps and the sea
surface height maps, the Loop Current broke down for the first time
around May 18th and generated a clock wise eddy, which is still active
(see Fig. 1).

Figure 1| Real time satellites data maps. Real time sea surface
height maps (above) and as of today the situation has deteriorated up to
the point in which the eddy has detached itself completely from the
main stream therefore destroying completely the Loop Current, as in
figure 2 below, dated June 12th 2010.

Figure 2| Real time satellites data maps updated. Real time sea
surface height map (left) and sea surface velocity maps (right) updated
on June 12th processed by CCAR1,2 and checked at LNF (Frascati) by SHT
calculus3.

The star indicates the site of BP platform “Deepwater Horizon”. The yellow arrow indicates the breaking of the Loop Stream.

Since comparative analysis with past satellite data until may 2010 didn’t show
relevant anomalies, it might be therefore plausible to correlate the breaking of
the Loop Current with the biochemical and physical action of the BP Oil Spill on the Gulf Stream.

It is reasonable to foresee the threat that the breaking of a crucial warm
stream as the Loop Current may generate a chain reaction of unpredictable
critical phenomena and instabilities due to strong non linearities which may
have serious consequences on the dynamics of the Gulf Stream thermoregulation activity of the Global Climate.

PDF with images at http://www.associazionegeofisica.it/OilSpill.pdf

References:

1. CCAR web page: http://argo.colorado.edu/~realtime/welcome/;
2. Leben, R. R., G. H. Born, B. R. Engebreth, 2002, Operational altimeter
data processing for mesoscale monitoring. Marine Geodesy, 25, 3-18;
3. G. Zangari patent SIAE-OLAF n. 9903198/1999

Acknowledgements: we acknowledge Frascati National Laboratories
(www.lnf.infn.it) and the National Institute of Nuclear Physics (www.infn.it).

We also aknowledge the University of Colorado, Boulder, USA: the maps
displayed in Fig. 1 and 2 were produced by the Colorado Center for
Astrodynamics Research at the University of Colorado, Boulder, USA.

More information on these data products is available at
http://argo.colorado.edu/~realtime/welcome/.

I suggest you to reread

From Project Avalon
http://projectavalon.net/forum4/show…he-Gulf-Stream

he Jet Stream
Climate

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/srh/jetstrea…al/climate.htm

The earth’s tilt, rotation and land/sea distribution affect the global weather patterns we observe.

While the weather varies from day-to-day at any particular location,
over the years, the same type of weather will reoccur. The reoccurring
"average weather" found in any particular place is called climate.

German climatologist and amateur botanist Wladimir Köppen
(1846-1940) divided the world’s climates into several major categories
based upon general temperature profile related to latitude. These
categories are as follows:
A – Tropical Climates
Tropical moist climates extend north and south from the equator to
about 15° to 25° latitude. In these climates all months have average
temperatures greater than 64°F (18°C) and annual precipitation greater
than 59".
B – Dry Climates
The most obvious climatic feature of this climate is that potential
evaporation and transpiration exceed precipitation. These climates
extend from 20°-35° North and South of the equator and in large
continental regions of the mid-latitudes often surrounded by mountains.
C – Moist Subtropical Mid-Latitude Climates
This climate generally has warm and humid summers with mild winters.
Its extent is from 30°50° of latitude mainly on the eastern and western
borders of most continents. During the winter, the main weather feature
is the mid-latitude cyclone. Convective thunderstorms dominate summer
months.
D – Moist Continental Mid-latitude Climates
Moist continental mid-latitude climates have warm to cool summers
and cold winters. The location of these climates is poleward of the C
climates. The average temperature of the warmest month is greater than
50°F (10°C), while the coldest month is less than -22°F (-30°C). Winters
are severe with snowstorms, strong winds, and bitter cold from
Continental Polar or Arctic air masses.
E – Polar Climates
Polar climates have year-round cold temperatures with the warmest
month less than 50°F (10°C). Polar climates are found on the northern
coastal areas of North America, Europe, Asia, and on the land masses of
Greenland and Antarctica.
H – Highlands
Unique climates based on their elevation. Highland climates occur in
mountainous terrain where rapid elevation changes cause rapid climatic
changes over short distances.

The map (below) shows where these major categories occur in the mainland United States.

Take it to the MAX! Learn about further sub-divisions of these climate zones.

The classical length of record to determine the climate for any
particular place is 30 years, as defined by the World Meteorological
Organization (WMO). The quantities most often observed are temperature,
precipitation, and wind.

The "normals" are computed once every 10 years which helps to smooth
out year-to-year variations. For example, the current 30-year normals
were calculated from the actual weather data that occurred during the 30
years of 1971-2000. In 2011, a new set of 30-year normals will be
calculated using the data from the period of 1981-2010. So, when you
hear what the normal high and low temperature for your location, for
example, they come from these 30-year averages.
__________________
LIN YUTANG:
Hope is like a road in the country;
there was never a road,
but when many people walk on it,
the road comes into existence.

"Be kinder than necessary because everyone you meet is fighting some kind of battle." Unknown

The Jet Stream

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/srh/jetstream/global/jet.htm

The Jet Stream

Jet streams are relatively narrow bands of strong wind in the upper levels of the atmosphere.

The winds blows from west to east in jet streams but the flow often shifts to the north and south.

Jet streams follow the boundaries between hot and cold air. Since
these hot and cold air boundaries are most pronounced in winter, jet
streams are the strongest for both the northern and southern hemisphere
winters.

Why does the jet stream winds blow from west to east? Recall from
the previous section what the global wind patterns would be like if the
earth was not rotating. (The warm air rising at the equator will move
toward both poles.) We saw that the earth’s rotation divided this
circulation into three cells. The earth’s rotation is responsible for
the jet stream as well.

The motion of the air is not directly north and south but is
affected by the momentum the air has as it moves away from the equator.
The reason has to do with momentum and how fast a location on or above
the Earth moves relative to the Earth’s axis.

Your speed relative to the Earth’s axis depends on your location.
Someone standing on the equator is moving much faster than someone
standing on a 45° latitude line. In the graphic (above right) the person
at the position on the equator arrives at the yellow line sooner than
the other two. Someone standing on a pole is not moving at all (except
that he or she would be slowly spinning). The speed of the rotation is
great enough to cause you to weigh one pound less at the equator than
you would at the north or south pole

The momentum the air has as it travels around the earth is
conserved, which means as the air that’s over the equator starts moving
toward one of the poles, it keeps its eastward motion constant. The
Earth below the air, however, moves slower as that air travels toward
the poles. The result is that the air moves faster and faster in an
easterly direction (relative to the Earth’s surface below) the farther
it moves from the equator.

In addition, with the three-cell circulations mentioned previously,
the regions around 30° N/S and 50°-60° N/S are areas where temperature
changes are the greatest. As the difference in temperature between the
two locations increase, the strength of the wind increases. Therefore,
the regions around 30° N/S and 50°-60° N/S are also regions where the
wind, in the upper atmosphere, is the strongest.

The 50°-60° N/S region is where the polar jet located with the
subtropical jet located around 30°N. Jet streams vary in height of four
to eight miles and can reach speeds of more than 275 mph (239 kts / 442
kp/h).

The actual appearance of jet streams result from the complex
interaction between many variables – such as the location of high and
low pressure systems, warm and cold air, and seasonal changes. They
meander around the globe, dipping and rising in altitude/latitude,
splitting at times and forming eddies, and even disappearing altogether
to appear somewhere else.

Jet streams also "follow the sun" in that as the sun’s elevation
increases each day in the spring, the jet streams shifts north moving
into Canada by Summer.
As Autumn approaches and the sun’s elevation decreases, the jet
stream moves south into the United States helping to bring cooler air to
the country.

Also, the jet stream is often indicated by a line on maps and by
television meteorologist. The line generally points to the location of
the strongest wind. Jet streams are typically wider and not as distinct
but a region where the wind increase toward a core of strongest wind.

One way of visualizing this is consider a river. The river’s current
is generally the strongest in the center with decreasing strength as
one approaches the river’s bank. It can be said that jet streams are
"rivers of air".

So with all these informations in english and of course most of the
same informations in other language the preventive step in order to
reduce morbidity and mortality for me was to write the following;

The importance of planning ahead for cold weather
Salutations to all,

I would like to share with you what I have learned from my family,
from First Nations and from Technology on how to insulated yourself in
winter.

I will talk about Boreal Hemisphere People but I presume a lot of
the means can be apply to the Southern Hemisphere countries.

We must first look at the NorthWind, this wind is the coldest one and the most sustained one in the winter.

As you know most of the house windows are directed towards the south
because our ancesters where aware of this nasty North Wind.

The second coldest wind is the West Wind it often brings cold from the northwest.

So I will concentrated on this post to two walls of your house or appartment the North Wall and the West wall.

Usually our great grand parents used to grow trees about 25 feet
from the house on the north side and the west side to sort of stop or
deviate those Winds. Leave them there.

If you do not have trees don’t worry there are many solutions as you will see.

WHen it Snow, do not fight Nature. Built snow banks about 10 feets
from the two walls, you will notice that snow tends to accumulate there
so follow the wind and bring this snow from the peripphery of your land
of you two walls and bring it at about 10 feet from your house. Do that
at the beginning, the Winds do not argue and will pilled up its Wind
Snow on the lay out you will have done.

The fondation is important for those two walls put few bags of soil
about 4 inches high along the the walls fondation, it will avoid more
water to melt at the base of the fondation.

The Doors needs a strip of isolator, it is not expensive and stop the cold from getting in.

The windows,
You must first close your window tighly and start putting gell
insulator but from the outside FIRST, then put some around each window
inside.

Check for yourself with an incences stick if there is still wind coming trough.

Do not forget electrical plugs and interruptors with you incence stick should dhow you how much breeze comes from those.

Insulate them, depending of you country go to the hardware store and
they will tell you ehat to use, never use piece of clothe or any
flammable things, in a winter time it would start a house fire.

ALways make sure that your dryer is tightly fix (the hose that
brings hot air outside) and always keep the door of the fryer and the
door of that room close.

If you run on 110 volts by small heating fan of 600 watts and put
them on the floor at the corner of your northern and western walls on
the floor about 5 feets from the corner and avoid putting anything in
front of it. NEVER LEAVE THIS WITHOUT ANY PRESENCE IN THE HOUSE, check
once in the while if the fan wire is hot if so get it away, at 600 watts
it is NOT supposed to heat therefore get it away.

I hope this will help, I will post more thing as time allows.

SNowy Owl from the 48th Parralel

Hat tip to Morning son of Project Avalon
http://projectavalon.net/forum4/show…he-Gulf-Stream

Hat Tip to Tothe of the Project Avalon
http://projectavalon.net/forum4/show…-Stream/page2&

The Breaking of the Loop Current in the Gulf Stream

Now we have 3 sources for GOM plug in maps for speed/currents, SSH & SST.
Lets see who is the most un-biased re. latest Marshall Masters update!

Update# 1 http://yowusa.com/earth/2010/earth-0810-05a/1.shtml

From the US Naval Research Laboratory
http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/global_nlom32/skill.html
Snapshot & movies of GOM note: get a load of the July 13 loop current stall.
http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/global_nlom32/gom.html

From The Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research
http://argo.colorado.edu/~realtime/g…l-time_velmag/

From NOAA/AOML and NOAA/SEFSC
Index.
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dhos/index.php
"plug-in" map
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dhos/geos.php

Index of all Ocean Conveyer articles of research from the Hole
http://www.whoi.edu/page.do?pid=12455

Hat Tip to Tothe of Avalon Project
http://projectavalon.net/forum4/show…f-Stream/page3

The Breaking of the Loop Current in the Gulf Stream

We could use this as a possible 4th. source for GOM & Gulf Stream data..

Naval Research Laboratory real-time experiment with the 1/25° Gulf of Mexico HYCOM The archives do go back to June.
http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/hycom…ll_public.html

Information about the consorium.
http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/hycomGOM2/prologue.html

HYCOM website..called experiment here too. Archives go back to 2003.
http://www.hycom.org/

Found more papers on the loop current.
Mega-flood triggered European ice age: At the end of this article I
find JPL is going political trying to downplay the significance of a
Gulf Stream slow down…in other words they don’t know or are total
jerks.
Part or text from link below.

"Scientists say they have found the trigger of a sharp cooling
13,000 years ago that plunged Europe into a mini ice age……
The finding has confirmed past theories about the likely cause of a
sudden cooling period called the Younger Dryas when temperatures in
Europe plunged into ice age conditions that lasted for about 1400
years."
http://www.abc.net.au/science/articl…1/2862429.htm?
Index
http://search.abc.net.au/search/sear…meta_v=science

Staying Warm
http://66.236.6.194:8888/html/Staying_Warm.html a must read

Last edited by Snowy Owl; Yesterday at 22:07.

Hope this help

http://projectavalon.net/forum4/show…What-now/page5

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