As our Sun and Earth descend into a grand solar minimum, mega quakes have always occurred during these lows in solar activity. One indicator that we are repeating this same cycle is to see earthquakes in strange areas of the globe, the North Pole and now the strongest earth quake ever recorded in Botswana and southern Africa. Electrical and atmospheric changes are very apparent now with purple skies, phenomenal electrical discharges and fierce hail in strange locations globally in the wrong season.
Published on Jul 7, 2014
According to the experts, earth is overdue for a reversal by double their best calculated estimations.
Oxygen Disaster at Reversal: http://ac.els-cdn.com/S0012821X140016…
2003 BBC Magnetism Article: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/na…
2004 NatGeo Magnetism Article: http://news.nationalgeographic.com/ne…
2006 NatGeo Magnetism Article: http://news.nationalgeographic.com/ne…
2008 NASA Magnetic Breach: http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/…
2011 ESA Magnetism Article: http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Obs…)
Magnetic Field Animation: http://wdc.kugi.kyoto-u.ac.jp/igrf/an…
2003 NASA Pole Shift Article: http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y20…
2008 Kyoto Pole Shift Animation: http://geomag.org/info/Declination/ma…
2010 Kyoto Pole Shift Visual: http://wdc.kugi.kyoto-u.ac.jp/poles/f…
2011 Discovery Pole Shift Article: http://news.discovery.com/earth/weath…
-Cosmic Rays and Clouds-
Direct Link Between GCR and Clouds: http://earthshine.dmi.dk/tellux/Harri…
Solar Activity Linked to GCR and Clouds: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/…
Cloud Condensation Nuclei: http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.ne…
Further Confirmation: http://scitech.au.dk/en/current-affai…
Cosmic Rays vs Sunspots: http://neutronm.bartol.udel.edu/modpl…
NASA’s Cosmic Energy Effect: http://science.nasa.gov/media/mediali…
U-Del: Cosmic Rays v Sunspots: http://neutronm.bartol.udel.edu/modpl…
-Grand Cycle Paper-
Choudhuri 2013: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1312.3408.pdf
This dramatically exciting series has finally returned. Sorry to keep you waiting but I’ve been busy! I have to skip the months of May and June because it’s just too much for one video. Drastic weather conditions has continued over the past month or so.
This isn’t everything, but it’s a start! Thanks for watching and stay safe.
Links Are Below, Facebook For Much More.
This series does not mean the world is ending! These are documentaries of a series of extreme weather events which are leading to bigger earth changes. If you’re following the series, then you’re seeing the signs. It’s much more than one video!
Signs Of Change Playlist:
Heat wave kills more than 1,000 in Pakistan
Storms Leave Nearly Half a Million Residents Without Power in Philadelphia Area
Man Swept Away Floods in Sochi, Dramatic Video
India hit by worst floods in 90 years
Western wildfires: California fire grows, forces evacuations
Wildfire engulfs homes in Washington state
Japan on volcano alert after eruption
5.2-magnitude earthquake hits Big Island
Hail And Snow Fall In Arizona
Many feared dead after millions hit by China floods
Caught On Camera: House Collapses In Landslide In Uttarakhand
Day of Extreme Weather in the UK
Raw: Damaging Earthquake in Western China
Fatal tornado rips through Venice
Canada wildfires: Thousands flee homes in Saskatchewan, British Columbia
Germany’s crazy weather: from boiling hot to giant hail stones
New Danger in the Ocean for Beachgoers
1.1 million evacuated as typhoon pounds China
Volcano Shuts Down Tourist Island Flights
Mexico’s Colima Volcano: Soot, Ash Continues to Rain Down
cold snap brings snow across the south east
Scientists predict ‘mini ice age’ will hit in 15 years
Deadly Kentucky Floods Sweep Away Buildings
wildfire jumps highway in california and vehicles catch fire
Thank you to the ones that film and the news channels that cover these events! I don’t own any of these videos.
FAIR USE NOTICE: This video may contain copyrighted material. Such material is made available for educational purposes only. This constitutes a ‘fair use’ of any such copyrighted material as provided for in Title 17 U.S.C. section 107 of the US Copyright Law.
On May 28, 2008, Adam LeWinter and Director Jeff Orlowski filmed a historic breakup at the Ilulissat Glacier in Western Greenland. The calving event lasted for 75 minutes and the glacier retreated a full mile across a calving face three miles wide. The height of the ice is about 3,000 feet, 300-400 feet above water and the rest below water.
Chasing Ice won the award for Excellence in Cinematography at the 2012 Sundance Film Festival and the Best Documentary from the International Press Association. It has won over 30 awards at festivals worldwide. Still playing in theaters worldwide.
“CHASING ICE” is NOMINATED for an Academy Award: Best Original Song
“Before My Time” by J. Ralph featuring Scarlett Johansson and Joshua Bell.
Now that global warming is completely unravelling, I want to elaborate on a point I made a few blogposts back about the role of humanities graduates in this great debate.
On the face of it, their record isn’t good. Some of the most influential promulgators of climate nonsense have been arts graduates – among them Bryony Worthington (the FoE activist turned peer responsible for the Climate Change Act), the BBC’s Roger Harrabin and a fair few of the Guardian’s 2,800-strong Environment Department. I think future historians – looking back on this period of mass hysteria in which so many people were persuaded by and so much expensive, damaging policy was based on the largest confection of lies in junk science history – could put together a reasonably persuasive thesis that it was mainly the fault of scientist-manque arts graduates too easily impressed by men in white lab coats.
Against that, though, you’d have to set people like me and the Booker. Neither of us – as the Warmists like endlessly to remind us and taunt us – has a science degree; yet we’ve dedicated most of the latter part of our careers towards exposing the scam. And we’ve done so with confidence not because we’re scientists but, rather, precisely because we’re not scientists. I don’t want to upset the many scientists here present who make such fascinating and enlightening contributions to this blog, for which I am always (well unless they’re trolls from the UEA….) extremely grateful. But as I tried to explain the other day in my brief spat with Wattsy, this debate isn’t mainly about “the science” and it never was mainly about “the science.”
This is something most of my journalistic contemporaries – such the one whose irksome private correspondence I quoted in the first version of this blog before someone persuaded me this was dishonourable and that I should take it down – have failed to understand. Even now, I think, in the journalistic mainstream, the view remains that “climate change” is a scientific debate about man’s influence on global warming. And it so isn’t. What it really is is just another proxy conflict in the culture wars: between those who believe in limited government, low taxation, minimal regulation, personal responsibility, free markets and liberty on the one hand; and on the other those who believe in an ever-enlarging state (perhaps even to the point of One World Government), high tax, more regulation, and rule by an elite of technocrats and “experts” on the other. I argue this, as those of you who have read it will know, in Watermelons.
In his latest column the excellent Lawrence Solomon makes a similar point about scientists versus historians:
Many blame the public’s confusion over global warming on a widespread ignorance of science. A scientific grounding wouldn’t hurt but it also wouldn’t help much – few laymen, no matter how well informed, could be expected to follow the arcane climate change calculations that specialist scientists wield.
The much better explanation for the public’s confusion lies in a widespread ignorance of history, not least by scientists. Any child can understand that the Romans conquered the world when temperatures were warmer than today, that the Dutch invented the ice skates during the Little Ice Age five hundred years ago, and that melting glaciers off Newfoundland a century ago produced the iceberg that sunk the Titanic.
He’s dead right. We all have our part to play in the debate, humanities and science graduates alike. Our gravest mistake in this particular one, I think, has been to put far too much faith in scientists as arbiters of ultimate truth. We have elevated them to the status of priest, almost – as you can hear, for example, in the broadcaster’s reverential tone on the BBC every time he or she invokes the word “scientists”.
One of m’learned commenters (remind me and I’ll H/T you) traces the problem back to CP Snow’s 1959 Two Cultures lecture. Ever since arts graduates – note, eg, its effects on Melvyn Bragg’s career – have thought meanly of themselves for not having studied a proper science degree.
For years, I must say, I felt much the same about my own mere English Literature degree.
But not any more. Climategate and its aftermath changed all that. It’s not a science degree you need to negotiate the complexities of this tottering edifice of propaganda, tortured data, lies, misinformation, political wrangling, rampant greed, corporatist manoeuvring and establishment cover-ups: it’s the mental clarity you develop translating the Battle of Maldon, the powers of endurance you develop from reading the Countess of Pembroke’s Arcadia, and the critical nous you acquire while trying to understand what the hell Spenser was on about when he wrote the Faerie Queene.
From Radio Voice of Russia:
Russia’s Pulkovo Observatory: “we could be in for a cooling period that lasts 200-250 years”
Scientists at Russia’s famous Pulkovo Observatory are convinced that the world is in for a period of global cooling.
Graph by David Archibald
Global warming which has been the subject of so many discussions in recent years, may give way to global cooling. According to scientists from the Pulkovo Observatory in St.Petersburg, solar activity is waning, so the average yearly temperature will begin to decline as well. Scientists from Britain and the US chime in saying that forecasts for global cooling are far from groundless. Some experts warn that a change in the climate may affect the ambitious projects for the exploration of the Arctic that have been launched by many countries.
Just recently, experts said that the Arctic ice cover was becoming thinner while journalists warned that the oncoming global warming would make it possible to grow oranges in the north of Siberia. Now, they say a cold spell will set in. Apparently, this will not occur overnight, Yuri Nagovitsyn of the Pulkovo Observatory, says.
“Journalists say the entire process is very simple: once solar activity declines, the temperature drops. But besides solar activity, the climate is influenced by other factors, including the lithosphere, the atmosphere, the ocean, the glaciers. The share of solar activity in climate change is only 20%. This means that sun’s activity could trigger certain changes whereas the actual climate changing process takes place on the Earth”.
Solar activity follows different cycles, including an 11-year cycle, a 90-year cycle and a 200-year cycle. Yuri Nagovitsyn comments.
“Evidently, solar activity is on the decrease. The 11-year cycle doesn’t bring about considerable climate change – only 1-2%. The impact of the 200-year cycle is greater – up to 50%. In this respect, we could be in for a cooling period that lasts 200-250 years. The period of low solar activity could start in 2030-2040 but it won’t be as pervasive as in the late 17th century”.
Even though pessimists say global cooling will hamper exploration of the Arctic, experts say it won’t. Climate change and the resulting increase in the thickness of the Arctic ice cover pose no obstacles to the extraction of oil and gas on the Arctic shelf. As oil and gas reserves of the Arctic sea shelf are estimated to be billions of tons, countries are demonstrating more interest in the development of the Arctic. Climate change will also have no impact on the Northern Sea Route, which makes it possible to cut trade routes between Europe, Asia and America. Professor Igor Davidenko comments.
“The Northern Sea Route has never opened so early or closed so late over the past 30 years. Last year saw a cargo transit record – more than five million tons. The first Chinese icebreaker sailed along the Northern Sea Route in 2012. China plans it to handle up to 15% of its exports”.
As Russia steps up efforts to upgrade its icebreaker fleet, new-generation icebreakers are set to arrive in the years to come. No climate changes will thus be able to impede an increase in shipping traffic via the Northern Sea Route.
Published on Mar 6, 2013
Just for fun…SO got bored at the office today, here’s the end result!!
Space and Science Research Corporation
Mon, 21 Jan 2013
This cold era is expected to last for approximately 22 to 33 years with the coldest temperatures to be seen during the 2020’s and 2030’s either side of the bottom year of the cycle in 2031, and have temperatures on the order of that observed during the Dalton Minimum (1793-1830). We have already seen the early signs of the new climate with record cold winters globally for some of the past four years. During the winter of 2011-2012, while the central and eastern USA experienced a relatively warm winter, Europe and Asia had a difficult winter. We have entered a period of record temperature setting both hot and cold. This trend of highly variable extremes of both hot and cold within a general trend of globally declining temperatures is fully characteristic of the transition between climate changes.
That does not mean we can wait to prepare. Now that the hibernation has begun, it is possible for these unusual variations in temperatures to strike with little warning. We should not be surprised to see occasional severe crop damage and recurring food shortages in many nations at any time. Comparisons to the Dalton Minimum show that there is a high probability of social, economic and political turmoil worldwide as a result of massive crop losses from the coming cold weather. The SSRC believes this damage to the world’s agricultural systems will be sufficient to create conditions that could lead to the world’s worst subsistence crisis in recorded history. This same food crisis occurred during the last hibernation, though with significantly fewer people to feed. Historian John D. Post called that time”…the last great subsistence crisis.”
Additionally, SSRC research and that of other respected researchers shows that geophysical upheavals like the largest earthquakes and volcanic eruptions are likely to occur during these solar events. As before with the Mt. Tambora eruption in 1815 that took place during the last solar hibernation, large volcanic eruptions may greatly add to the cooling of the Earth on top of that created by the reduction in the Sun’s output. Further, the largest recorded earthquakes in US history took place in the middle of the last hibernation, the New Madrid quakes of 1811-1812. The SSRC Research Report 1-2010, (See The RC Theory page) similar to that of other researchers, established a strong link between solar hibernations and these largest geophysical disturbances. Given the likelihood of major quakes and volcanic eruptions here in the US, the SSRC immediately notified US authorities and major news outlets after release of the report.
The SSRC predicts the first possible time frame for an instance of large scale crop damage is during the record drop in global temperatures predicted by the SSRC to take place between June 2010 and November-December 2012. (See press release 2-2010). Earthquakes and volcanic eruptions of historical scale can happen at any time now that the next solar hibernation has begun.
This is the nature of the threats that the SSRC sees during the new climate era that has just begun. The obvious message here is that we need to prepare as best we can. The SSRC will do all it can to spread the word about this new climate period and its ill-effects. We will continue to pursue the SSRC Mission of urging the government and our fellow citizens to prepare for this new climate era.
- Tourist, 52, slipped in wet conditions in front of wife and two children
- Snow in Scotland as Met issues early weather warnings for next week
- Flood warnings continue with more persistent and heavy rain expected
PUBLISHED: 20:29 EST, 5 May 2012 | UPDATED: 17:29 EST, 6 May 2012
A holidaymaker plunged 50 metres to his death in a horrific cliff fall in front of his wife and two children.
The 52-year-old man was walking on a cliff path in West Cornwall when he is thought to have slipped on ground left muddy by recent heavy rain.
A sea and air rescue was launched after his family raised the alarm but he was declared dead after his body was recovered from rocks at the base of the cliff.
The tragedy comes as Britain faces a Bank Holiday washout with yet more severe conditions and wet weather expected later in the week.
The Met office issued early weather warnings for next week with persistent heavy rain expected to spread across the country during Wednesday evening and the early hours of Thursday.
The lowest temperature recorded overnight on Friday was in south-west Scotland, where it plummeted to -6C (21.2F).
Yesterday, Scotland experienced snow, while the skies over southern England were grey with patchy rain. Further north, sunny intervals were interspersed with showers.
Temperatures in north-east England peaked at about 6C (42.8F), while in Cornwall, the mercury struggled to climb above 11C (51.8F).
‘It’s been pretty cold,’ said forecaster Nick Prebble of MeteoGroup yesterday.
‘We’ve seen flurries of snow over the Grampians and north-west Highlands, and there’s been sleet there, too. There have also been a few light sleet showers in northern England.’
More snow flurries are forecast today over high ground in Scotland.
The unsettled weather is due to continue tomorrow, with a band of heavy rain edging north-east across most parts of the country.
‘It’s looking like most places will see a wet and breezy day,’ Mr Prebble.
The tragedy in Cornwall happened early on Friday morning as the visitor from Basingstoke, Hampshire, was walking at the Cornish beauty spot.
A police spokesman said: ‘A 52 year old male from the Basingstoke area was airlifted from the bottom of cliffs at Mullion around 7.45pm on Friday 4 May.
‘The male was pronounced deceased at hospital. It is believed that the male had been walking with his wife and two young children along the cliff path prior to being found.
Police are treating the man’s death as accidental. The coroner has been informed.
Falmouth Coastguards have warned other visitors to be very careful on muddy paths near unprotected cliffs.
A spokesman said: ‘People who walk along paths should be aware that we have had a lot of wet weather and the ground may be slippery.’
The dismal weather follows weeks of heavy rain which has caused flooding in many areas.
Four flood warnings remain in place and the Environment Agency said that while water levels were receding, officials were continuing to monitor the situation.
Yesterday, roads remained fairly clear, with many people opting to stay at home.
The Highways Agency said: ‘The roads haven’t been overly congested, performing well despite the weather.’
An unbelievable amount of massive Earth changes unfolding, it’s an amazing time to be alive and we really should consider ourselves privileged to be alive at this time. Especially when you consider the fact we’re living in a cycle that happens only every 26,000 years.
Published on Apr 17, 2012 by JoeyB613
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Thank you Joey Bellmore for a great earth changes report! At this point there is so much unfolding with just the Earth changes, that’s it’s hard to get to everything while covering other topics demanding our attention. While there’s some crossover with stories covered below this post, Joey Bellmore features events of importance that aren’t covered here. (Formerly JoeyB)
Link to JoeyB’s blog:
Well the global warming scam is on full steam ahead as they roll out the carbon tax later this year, yet in Europe people may be dying in the thousands under sub-zero conditions that haven’t been seen in two or three generations. But you wouldn’t know what’s happening if you get your news from US mass media. The numbers of people trapped and possibly frozen to death in their homes, is still unknown since so many homes are still buried under snow.
Below are a few articles from IceAgeNow.com where you can read more on the unprecedented cold weather in Europe, along with the last article about a press release from the Bilderberg 2010 meeting where not a word is mentioned concerning global warming. It’s global cooling that was on the agenda, all the more evidence of the scam behind the carbon tax and the threat of global warming from mankind.
Please spread this information out far and wide to help people wake up to the serious earth changes unfolding overseas and around the world.
Tragedy unfolding in Europe – Is U.S. media trying to ignore it?
By Robert On February 13, 2012
“The cold snap in Europe, which began in late January, has killed hundreds and brought deep snow where it hasn’t been seen in decades,” says this article in the Seattle Times.
This should be front page news. Instead, the article doesn’t appear until page eight. And the title, “At least 3 killed in avalanche in Kosovo,” belies the seriousness of the situation. (The print version carries a different headline: “Cold snap, snow lock down Europe.”)
How about a headline that tells it like it is?
That headline would give readers a glimpse of what’s really happening in Europe, where snow drifts reaching above the rooftops have kept tens of thousands of villagers prisoners in their own homes.
Now, I’ll admit that once you get past the ho-hum headline and down to the third paragraph, the Seattle Times article gets to the harsh truth.
You learn that in Montenegro, “the heaviest snow in 63 years sealed off hundreds of villages, shut down roads and railways and closed the main airport.” And you learn that “It was the biggest snowfall in the capital since 1949.”
You also learn that “boat traffic on the frozen Danube river — one of Europe’s key waterways — has been unable to move for the longest time in recent memory.” (Italics added.)
The rest of the article is quite informative, and I appreciate that.
But it’s that “cold snap” thing that bugs me.
Did all of the world’s journalists go to “cold snap” school?
If temperatures go up by a hundredth of a degree they scream “global warming.” But if, heaven forbid, it’s record cold and record snow? “Well, let’s just call it a cold snap.”
Would you call it a “cold snap” when more than 100 vessels become trapped in icy waters of the Sea of Azov? That’s what Reuters called it. “A fierce cold snap with temperatures of about -25C (-13 F) caused large parts of the Azov Sea to freeze,” said Reuters.
Would you call it a “cold snap” when more than 2,000 roads in Turkey are blocked by heavy snows? That’s what the Google News headline announced. The article itself was very good, speaking of brutal cold and record low temperatures, but – “cold snap”?
Would you call it a “cold snap” when people have to cut tunnels through 15 feet of snow to get out of their homes? “Eastern Europe has been pummeled by a record-breaking cold snap,” says this otherwise great AP article.
Look at these headlines. Are these the result of a “cold snap”?
- Serbia cuts power in desperate bid to prevent collapse of national grid
The country’s entire electric distribution system could collapse…
- Hundreds of barns collapse in Italy
At least one million farm animals in danger of running out of food.
- Villages buried under 4-5 meters of snow – Video
“23.000 people are isolated, how many people and animals have died we don’t know since nobody can reach there.”
- Italian villages trapped in more than 9 feet of snow
With the death toll already at 43, another blast of freezing weather…
- Danube freezes over – One of the greatest rivers in Europe
Danube wholly or partially blocked in six countries.
- Most winter grain destroyed in southern and eastern Ukraine
With temperatures 12 to 17C below average, the situation in Ukraine has became serious.
- European death toll rises to 480 – and counting
150 cattle killed when roofs collapse. “It seems more like a war in Europe.”
- Code red for agriculture in Tuscany
“Blizzard comes and farmers tremble” – Loss rates up to 50%.
- Turkey quake survivors fighting the snow
Walking 300 feet through the snow to reach the nearest toilets.
No, this is no mere cold snap. There’s a tragedy unfolding in Europe, and the world needs to know.
Please forward this article to everyone you can.
Villages buried under 4-5 meters of snow – Video
“23.000 people are isolated, how many people and animals have died we don’t know since nobody can reach there.”
People have to climb down through trenches to get into their homes.
You’ve GOT to watch these videos!
“Snow drifts reaching up to rooftops kept tens of thousands of villagers prisoners in their own homes Saturday,” says this article on Yahoo.com.
“Authorities said an estimated 30,000 people were still cut off in Romania, and more than 110,000 in the Balkan countries, including 60,000 in Montenegro, nearly 10 percent of the population.”
Montenegro’s capital of Podgorica was brought to a standstill by 20 inches (50 cm) of snow, a 50-year record, and snow measured three feet (one meter) deep in higher villages on the French Mediterranean island of Corsica.
Even in Italy’s far southern Calabria region – the so-called “toe” of Italy – many villages were cut off, and in spite of air drops, food threatened to run out in some Romanian villages.
Forecasters expect the “cold snap”, which started two weeks ago, to continue until mid-February.
(I don’t know they can label such a disastrous weather pattern a “cold snap.”)
It’s the longest “cold-snap” in Belgium in 70 years.
See entire article:
The 58th Bilderberg Meeting will be held in Sitges, Spain 3 – 6 June 2010. The Conference will deal mainly with Financial Reform, Security, Cyber Technology, Energy, Pakistan, Afghanistan, World Food Problem, Global Cooling, Social Networking, Medical Science, EU-US relations. Approximately 130 participants will attend of whom about two-thirds come from Europe and the balance from North America. About one-third is from government and politics, and two-thirds are from finance, industry, labor, education, and communications. The meeting is private in order to encourage frank and open discussion.
Uploaded by NibiruMagick2012 on Feb 11, 2012
Snow drifts reaching up to rooftops kept tens of thousands of villagers prisoners in their own homes Saturday as the death toll from Europe’s big freeze rose past 550.
Tropical cyclone Giovanna aims Madagascar
More than 2,000 roads blocked in Turkey by heavy snows
Troubled Calif. nuke plant may not even apply for a renewal license — Says 4,000 tons of high-level radioactive waste stored onsite
(A msg from a sub) ((Thank You))
Why possibly the Bolts in Arnie Gundersen’s explanation did not hold 120Psi. If what this document says is true, then it would seem every nuke over about 10 years old guessing globally is a guessing rust bucket. Unbelievable!! It would seem things corroding through is a common occurrence in the nuke industry.
Uploaded by JoeyB613 on Feb 10, 2012
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FAIR USE NOTICE: This video may contain copyrighted material. Such material is made available for educational purposes only. This constitutes a ‘fair use’ of any such copyrighted material as provided for in Title 17 U.S.C. section 106A-117 of the U.S. Copyright Law.
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Uploaded by believersundergroundon Feb 8, 2012
PGR 101 (Post Glacial Rebound) – Lady GaGa and Obama – 1
Earth’s North Pole Shifting just like ‘New Age Esoteric Masters’ predicted
post glacial rebound
Earth’s Bulging Waistline Blamed on Glaciers, Oceans
above top secret
POST GLACIAL REBOUND DISCUSSION
CORRECTED PGR GRIDS
March 5, 2004: Global warming could plunge North America and Western Europe into a deep freeze,
Britain faces a sudden shivering end to the exceptionally warm late autumn with temperatures plunging towards Siberian levels.
Winter weather will arrive with a vengeance with temperatures well below zero within the next fortnight.
Experts then predict a bitterly cold December with thermometers falling at least as low as -15C (5F).
Snow could hit the country even earlier than last year when a big freeze at the end of November sent temperatures to -20C (-4F), crippling transport. And some forecasters fear that temperatures could plunge as low or even lower this winter.
Jonathan Powell of Positive Weather Solutions said: “It will not be as sustained as last year, but these episodes are expected to be severe, with Siberian temperatures.”
The warnings came as the Government announced the Met Office will send out extreme weather alerts this year to the NHS, social services and other agencies in a bid to cut the 25,000 extra deaths winter causes in the UK.
Forecaster Brian Gaze of The Weather Outlook, said: “There are signs of a significant change in the mild weather in mid-November.
“The current mild weather is caused by a high-pressure block to our east, keeping us under a south-westerly flow of Atlantic air. But it looks as though high pressure could move further north west, allowing much colder air to filter across the UK from the north or east, with the risk of snow increasing.”
James Madden, of Exacta Weather, warned the theme of this winter would be “very cold and snowy across many parts of the UK”.
He said there would be “frequent and widespread heavy snowfalls during November to January across many parts of the UK and Ireland, with below-average temperatures”.
The new winter alerts will come in the form of one of four possible warnings depending on the severity of the conditions the Met Office expects.
Level One will initiate long-term planning, Level Two will indicate a 60 per cent risk of extreme cold for 48 hours, Level Three means severe weather is expected to impact on health and Level Four is a “major cold weather incident.”
The alert system is part of the Government’s Cold Weather Plan which also contains advice to individuals and carers, such as making sure at-risk groups get vaccinated against flu and keep homes heated adequately.
A minimum of 70F is being recommended during the day and 61F at night. Below that, the risk of heart problems, strokes and respiratory illness increases. Health Secretary Andrew Lansley said: “Older people and those with long-term illnesses are particularly vulnerable to the cold and we need to be aware – within families, in communities and across the NHS – of how we can help others.
“Every year, there is a 20 per cent increase in deaths in the winter in England. By working together, this coordinated plan will help protect those most in need. We are determined to do all we can to achieve this.”
Michelle Mitchell, charity director at Age UK said: “The coalition Government has set a new emphasis on public health as one of its key objectives, and this Cold Weather Plan is a very important step in the right direction.
“Age UK will be building on this with its own winter campaign to help vulnerable older people live well through the cold months of the year.”
The Met Office said: “Our excess winter mortality, of an average 25,000 extra deaths in winter compared to other months of the year – 80 per cent thought to be due to the cold – is very poor compared to other countries in Europe.
“The aim of the cold weather alerts is to reduce winter mortality by allowing action to be taken, helping people and patients reduce the risks of cold weather.”
By CLAIRE SMITH
Published on Saturday 28 January 2012 00:41
SCOTLAND is about to be hit with the coldest February on record, with temperatures as low as –6C in some areas, forecasters warn.
After a far milder winter than the past two years, bookmakers have slashed the odds on temperatures plummeting next month.
Ladbrokes is offering a miserly 3-1 that February will be the coldest on record and 7-1 on the Six Nations rugby clash between Scotland and England, at Murrayfield next Saturday being postponed because of the weather.
The reason for the forecasts is an icy blast making its way to the UK from Siberia.
That will see night temperatures in many parts of the country plunge.
Alex Donohue, spokesman for Ladbrokes, said: “The imminent Siberian chill has whipped punters into a betting frenzy.
“We’ve had to slash the odds and take evasive action, as all signs point to a freezing February. The odds suggest the snow will wreak havoc.”
The Met Office has urged drivers to be careful, with roads likely to become treacherous.
Temperatures are expected to drop dramatically tonight, with patches of snow on the hills.
The Met Office said the icy temperatures, combined with a build-up of snow and slush, which fell on Thursday and yesterday, would make driving difficult.
Peter Sloss, of the Met Office in Aberdeen, said: “We’ve issued a warning for the whole of Scotland because of widespread frost. Temperatures will be sub-zero across Scotland.”
Tonight, temperatures could drop as low as –6C in high and exposed areas, with Glasgow and Edinburgh also well below freezing at –2C, and showers in the north.
South of the Border, too, it will be becoming increasingly cold, Chris Burton, forecaster with Meteogroup, said: “It is cold enough for sleet and snow in the higher ground, such as the Pennines and the Lake District.
“It’s looking like it will get increasingly cold through the weekend and into next week.”
Experts said high pressure from eastern Europe could clash with rain from the Atlantic to create snow on higher ground.
More wintry showers could fall in western areas of Scotland, tomorrow, with temperatures again predicted to drop below zero overnight.
Yesterday, a yellow warning issued by the Met Office advised motorists to “be alert” – saying conditions on the roads could be potentially dangerous.
The warning on its website said: “Icy stretches are expected to form on untreated surfaces, especially in places affected by showers. The showers will fall as snow above about 250m, but there may be temporary slush deposits to lower levels.”
The Met Office added: “The public should be aware of possible travel disruption.”
Snowfall and icy conditions in the west of Scotland yesterday caused problems for some motorists, with one report of a car skidding off the road at the A832 at Glascarnoch.
And forecasters warned that the change in temperature might herald freezing conditions in February.
The Met Office said: “In the early part of February high pressure to the east could bring frosty weather across the British Isles.”
Yesterday, after flurries across southern Scotland in the morning, the snow moved south to Cumbria and northern England.
UK scientists have detected a huge dome of fresh water that is developing in the western Arctic Ocean.
The bulge is some 8,000 cubic km in size and has risen by about 15cm since 2002.
The team thinks it may be the result of strong winds whipping up a great clockwise current in the northern polar region called the Beaufort Gyre.
This would force the water together, raising sea surface height, the group tells the journal Nature Geoscience.
“In the western Arctic, the Beaufort Gyre is driven by a permanent anti-cyclonic wind circulation. It drives the water, forcing it to pile up in the centre of gyre, and this domes the sea surface,” explained lead author Dr Katharine Giles from the Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling (CPOM) at University College London.
“In our data, we see the trend being biggest in the centre of the gyre and less around the edges,” she told BBC News.
Dr Giles and colleagues made their discovery using radar satellites belonging to the European Space Agency (Esa).
These spacecraft can measure sea-surface height even when there is widespread ice cover because they are adept at picking out the cracks, or leads, that frequently appear in the frozen floes.
The data (1995-2010) indicates a significant swelling of water in the Beaufort Gyre, particularly since the early part of the 2000s. The rising trend has been running at 2cm per year.
Model predictionA lot of research from buoys and other in-situ sampling had already indicated that water in this region of the Arctic had been freshening.
This fresh water is coming in large part from the rivers running off the Eurasian (Russian) side of the Arctic basin.
Winds and currents have transported this fresh water around the ocean until it has been pulled into the gyre. The volume currently held in the circulation probably represents about 10% of all the fresh water in the Arctic.
Of interest to future observations is what might happen if the anticyclonic winds, which have been whipping up the bulge, change behaviour.
“What we seen occurring is precisely what the climate models had predicted,” said Dr Giles.
“When you have clockwise rotation – the fresh water is stored. If the wind goes the other way – and that has happened in the past – then the fresh water can be pushed to the margins of the Arctic Ocean.
“If the spin-up starts to spin down, the fresh water could be released. It could go to the rest of the Arctic Ocean or even leave the Arctic Ocean.”
If the fresh water were to enter the North Atlantic in large volumes, the concern would be that it might disturb the currents that have such a great influence on European weather patterns. These currents draw warm waters up from the tropics, maintaining milder temperatures in winter than would ordinarily be expected at northern European latitudes.
The creation of the Beaufort Gyre bulge is not a continuous development throughout the 15-year data-set, and only becomes a dominant feature in the latter half of the study period.
This may indicate a change in the relationship between the wind and the ocean in the Arctic brought about by the recent rapid decline in sea-ice cover, the CPOM team argues in its Nature Geoscience paper.
It is possible that the wind is now imparting momentum to the water in ways that were not possible when the sea-ice was thicker and more extensive.
“The ice is now much freer to move around,” said Dr Giles.
“So, as the wind acts on the ice, it’s able to pull the water around with it. Depending on how ridged the surface of ice is or how smooth the bottom of the ice is – this will all affect the drag on the water. If you have more leads, this also might provide more vertical ice surfaces for the wind to blow against.”
One consequence of less sea-ice in the region is the possibility that winds could now initiate greater mixing of the different layers in the Arctic Ocean.
Scientists are aware that there is a lot of warm water at depth.
At present, this deep water’s energy is unable to influence the sea-ice because of a buffer of colder, less dense water lying between it and the floes above.
But if this warm water were made to well up because of wind-driven changes at the surface, it could further accelerate the loss of seasonal ice cover.
The CPOM team is now investigating the likelihood of this happening with Cryosat-2, Esa’s first radar satellite dedicated to the study of the polar regions.
“We now have the means to measure not only the ice thickness but also to monitor how the ocean under the ice is changing,” says Dr Seymour Laxon, director of CPOM and co-author of the study, “and with CryoSat-2, we can now do so over the entire Arctic Ocean.”
- Arctic ice at second-lowest level 16 SEPTEMBER 2011, SCIENCE & ENVIRONMENT
- Ice ‘tipping point’ may not occur 04 AUGUST 2011, SCIENCE & ENVIRONMENT
- Ice mission produces first map 21 JUNE 2011, SCIENCE & ENVIRONMENT
- Ice mission returns first science 20 DECEMBER 2010, SCIENCE & ENVIRONMENT
- Arctic ice thickness ‘plummets’ 27 OCTOBER 2008, SCI/TECH
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Russian research team astonished after finding ‘fountains’ of methane bubbling to surface
Tuesday 13 December 2011
Dramatic and unprecedented plumes of methane – a greenhouse gas 20 times more potent than carbon dioxide – have been seen bubbling to the surface of the Arctic Ocean by scientists undertaking an extensive survey of the region.
The scale and volume of the methane release has astonished the head of the Russian research team who has been surveying the seabed of the East Siberian Arctic Shelf off northern Russia for nearly 20 years.
In an exclusive interview with The Independent, Igor Semiletov, of the Far Eastern branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, said that he has never before witnessed the scale and force of the methane being released from beneath the Arctic seabed.
“Earlier we found torch-like structures like this but they were only tens of metres in diameter. This is the first time that we’ve found continuous, powerful and impressive seeping structures, more than 1,000 metres in diameter. It’s amazing,” Dr Semiletov said. “I was most impressed by the sheer scale and high density of the plumes. Over a relatively small area we found more than 100, but over a wider area there should be thousands of them.”
Scientists estimate that there are hundreds of millions of tonnes of methane gas locked away beneath the Arctic permafrost, which extends from the mainland into the seabed of the relatively shallow sea of the East Siberian Arctic Shelf. One of the greatest fears is that with the disappearance of the Arctic sea-ice in summer, and rapidly rising temperatures across the entire region, which are already melting the Siberian permafrost, the trapped methane could be suddenly released into the atmosphere leading to rapid and severe climate change.
Dr Semiletov’s team published a study in 2010 estimating that the methane emissions from this region were about eight million tonnes a year, but the latest expedition suggests this is a significant underestimate of the phenomenon.
In late summer, the Russian research vessel Academician Lavrentiev conducted an extensive survey of about 10,000 square miles of sea off the East Siberian coast. Scientists deployed four highly sensitive instruments, both seismic and acoustic, to monitor the “fountains” or plumes of methane bubbles rising to the sea surface from beneath the seabed.
“In a very small area, less than 10,000 square miles, we have counted more than 100 fountains, or torch-like structures, bubbling through the water column and injected directly into the atmosphere from the seabed,” Dr Semiletov said. “We carried out checks at about 115 stationary points and discovered methane fields of a fantastic scale – I think on a scale not seen before. Some plumes were a kilometre or more wide and the emissions went directly into the atmosphere – the concentration was a hundred times higher than normal.”
Dr Semiletov released his findings for the first time last week at the American Geophysical Union meeting in San Francisco.